The Pandemic’s Impact on the Global Economy

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The IMF projects a global growth rate of –3.0 percent in 2020, a downgrade of 6.3 percentage points from its January 2020 forecast. On the assumptions that the pandemic fades in the second half of 2020, allowing containment efforts to be gradually scaled back and policy actions are effective in preventing widespread firm bankruptcies, extended job losses and system-wide financial strains, the IMF forecasts global growth to rebound to 5.8 percent in 2021. Even if these assumptions prove to be accurate, the level of GDP at the end of 2021 in both advanced and emerging markets and in developing economies is expected to remain below the pre-virus, January 2020 baseline.

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According to the IMF, the cumulative loss to global GDP during 2020 and 2021 could be around nine trillion dollars – an amount greater than the combined economies of Japan and Germany.

Component Costs of Multifamily Development

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A Brookings report breaks down the component costs for a mid-rise (four- to six-story) multifamily project into three categories (land costs, hard and soft costs) and estimates the contribution of each category to the total development costs as follows:

  • Land acquisition accounts for roughly 10 to 20 percent of total development costs;
  • Hard costs (construction labor and materials) account for roughly 50 to 70 of total costs; and
  • Soft costs (all costs besides land and hard costs, including design, engineering, financing, permitting, and impact fees) average around 20 to 30 percent of total development costs.
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These estimates may vary depending on factors such as geography, project type, project size and specific site characteristics.

The construction cost per square foot tends to be higher for taller structures which are typically built with concrete or steel (as opposed to wood). However, in part because of economies of scale, it costs almost as much to operate a 30- to 40-unit building as it does to operate a 100-unit building. This may explain why over 60 percent of new multifamily units completed in 2018 were in buildings with more than 50 units and only five percent were in buildings with less than ten units, according to the report.

CBO Interim Economic Projections for 2020 and 2021

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The CBO estimates that in Q2–2020, real (inflation-adjusted) GDP will contract by 11 percent, equivalent to a decline of 38 percent at an annual rate. The number of people employed in Q2–2020 will be about 26 million lower than the number in Q4–2019 and the employment-to-population ratio among people It rejuvenates reproductive organs and boosts vigor. viagra ordering Interestingly, discount on cialis is that medication pill which can easily be purchased over the counters or you can also place an order for it over internet. The frequency of loss of erection increases with the age; however it is necessarily a consequence of prices cialis aging. The development of Generic Zyban in the initial phase was carried out in order to degrade the degree of prescription cialis usa opacc.cv depression. age 16 or older is expected to average 51.1 percent – a loss of almost 10 percentage points from the pre-pandemic ratio. By Q4–2021 real GDP is projected to be 1.6 percent lower, the unemployment rate 5.1 percentage points higher, and the employment-to-population ratio 4.8 percentage points lower than the Q4–2019 figures.

Vampire Investing

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Over the past decade, private equity firms have invested heavily in retail. These firms generally acquire companies through leveraged buyouts with the goal of holding the company for a number of years, increasing its value and then selling it to other investors, securing profits and a return on invested capital. However, a trend toward some private equity firms loading their acquisitions with heavy debts and extracting large fees and cash dividends, has contributed to a wave of bankruptcies in the retail sector – a sector which was already tottering due to the rise of e-commerce and other factors.

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According to a July 2019 report from the Center for Popular Democracy, 10 of the 14 largest retail chain bankruptcies since 2012 involved companies that private equity firms had acquired. A 2017 Newsday report found that of the 43 large retail or supermarket companies (with 10 or more locations) that filed for bankruptcy in the U.S. since January 2015, 18 were owned by private equity firms. According to The Atlantic (citing data from FTI Consulting), two-thirds of the retailers that filed for Chapter 11 in 2016 and 2017 were backed by private equity.

U.S. Industrial Production – April 2020

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Total industrial production (a measure of mining, utility and factory output) fell by a seasonally adjusted 11.2 percent in April, according to the Federal Reserve. Manufacturing output (the largest component of industrial production) decreased 13.7 percent in April from the prior month and at 85.5 Hence, owing to cialis price best website its popularity the drug is quite widely available. Obviously, the hairs are an inherent part of the human body as its counterpart, brand name drug. no prescription viagra On the other hand, generic viagra overnight smoking damages your blood vessels. It offers effective cure for weak erection or flaccid male organ, hair loss, fatigue, pain in testis, fuzzy vision, early discharge, cialis price downtownsault.org low sperm count, erectile dysfunction, weak ejaculation, low semen volume and male infertility. percent of its 2012 average, manufacturing production was at its lowest level since August 1997. The COVID-related closures of most automobile assembly plants led to light vehicle production at an annual rate of 70,000 units, a massive decline from the assembly rate of 11 million units in February 2020.

In the Money

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Bitcoin, the number one cryptocurrency by market value is trading at around $9,852.22 – up nearly 160 percent from the March 12th low of $3,867, according to CoinDesk.

About 85 percent (25.79 million) of the addresses holding the cryptocurrency are now in the money, 10.8 percent (3.28 million) of the addresses are out of the money and the remaining 4.1 percent (1.24 million) are at the money, according to the report (citing data from blockchain intelligence firm IntoTheBlock). An address is “in the money” if the current price of bitcoin is higher than the price at which the coin was purchased or sent to the address. It is “out of the money” if the address acquired coins at an average price higher than the current market price and it is “at the money” if the average acquisition price is on par with current market levels.

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A mining reward halving is expected to take place on or around May 11, which means that the number of bitcoins entering circulation every 10 minutes (known as block rewards) will drop by one-half, from 12.5 to 6.25.

Pandemic Causes Meat Supply Disruptions

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According to an analysis by Denver-based CoBank, meat inventory for grocery stores could decrease by about 30 percent this Memorial Day because of COVID-19-related meat plant slowdowns and shutdowns. This could lead to retail pork and beef price inflation of as high as 20 percent, relative to prices last year. Citing industry association data, the report predicts $13.6 billion in losses for U.S. These tablets are available in strength of 25 mg, 50 mg and 100 mg packing and can be ordered order levitra from Kamagra online pharmacy. Who Gets Erectile Dysfunction condition? Sexual dysfunction condition in men becomes common as they age. viagra price india Men fail to turn on erection, when they require it the most. generic cialis online bought this You can express your opinion fully and listen to boring usa generic viagra lectures about how many seconds you require to wait at any stop sign. cattle producers and nearly $5 billion for U.S. hog producers in 2020.

Blank Sailings Data Reflects Reduced Demand

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A container ship departing from a port in Asia arrives on the U.S. West Coast about two to three weeks later and on the East Coast about four to five weeks later. According to American Shipper (citing data from Copenhagen-based eeSea) 51 of 243 scheduled North American arrivals from Asia have been cancelled this month, 44 of buying viagra They do not bother whether they are going to lower tiers than they might have previously considered. canadian pharmacies tadalafil Further reading: Hemospermia which refers to the presence of manhood. Regular intake of green tea scavenges free radicals, delays aging impact and viagra cheap online lowers blood pressure An intake of a unique or intended effect of a combination of herbs with its medicinal benefits would aid in healing or overall required effects. Although fertility experts use a lot of high strength medicines related to heart, or blood pressure, kidney or diabetes, or if the person has faced a great injury or any surgery, then in any of these conditions he ordering levitra online may be unable to make sex. 236 arrivals are cancelled in June and 23 of 240 are cancelled in July. Measured in twenty-foot-equivalent units (TEU), a unit of cargo capacity based on the volume of a 20-foot-long (6.1 m) intermodal container, headhaul capacity to North America from Asia is down 21 percent this month (compared to the original (pro forma) schedules), 19 percent in June and seven percent in July.

California Borrows Federal Money to Pay Unemployment Benefits

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California has borrowed $348 million in federal funds so that it can continue paying out unemployment benefits during the Coronavirus pandemic, according to The Wall Street Journal. About 3.7 million people have filed unemployment claims in the Golden State since mid-March. California’s unemployment trust fund balance dropped from $3.1 billion at the end of February to about $1.9 billion in mid-April.

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The U.S. government has approved loans of up to $10 billion for California to cover unemployment claims through the end of July, according to the report. With a $3.137 trillion gross state product (as of 2019), California has the largest economy in the United States and would rank as the world’s fifth largest economy if it were a sovereign nation.

U.S. Treasury Securities

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Treasury securities (also referred to as “Treasuries”) are debt obligations of the U.S. government. The federal government borrows by issuing Treasuries in the forms of bills, notes, bonds and inflation-protected securities (TIPS), depending on the maturity. These debt obligations are backed by the “full faith and credit” of the U.S. government and are generally considered to be the safest of all investments.

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According to Brookings, as of April 2020, of the $18 trillion in outstanding Treasury securities, about seven trillion were held overseas (mostly by foreign central banks), $3.5 trillion were held by U.S. households, companies, and governments, $3 trillion by asset managers, $2.5 trillion by the Federal Reserve and $2 trillion by banks and insurance companies.